Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe

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Standard

Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe. / Kurganskiy, Alexander; Creer, Simon; De Vere, Natasha; Griffith, Gareth W.; Osborne, Nicholas J.; Wheeler, Benedict W.; McInnes, Rachel N.; Clewlow, Yolanda; Barber, Adam; Brennan, Georgina L.; Hanlon, Helen M.; Hegarty, Matthew; Potter, Caitlin; Rowney, Francis; Adams-Groom, Beverley; Petch, Geoff M.; Pashley, Catherine H.; Satchwell, Jack; de Weger, Letty A.; Rasmussen, Karen; Oliver, Gilles; Sindt, Charlotte; Bruffaerts, Nicolas; Skjøth, Carsten A.

I: Science Advances, Bind 7, Nr. 13, eabd7658, 2021.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt

Harvard

Kurganskiy, A, Creer, S, De Vere, N, Griffith, GW, Osborne, NJ, Wheeler, BW, McInnes, RN, Clewlow, Y, Barber, A, Brennan, GL, Hanlon, HM, Hegarty, M, Potter, C, Rowney, F, Adams-Groom, B, Petch, GM, Pashley, CH, Satchwell, J, de Weger, LA, Rasmussen, K, Oliver, G, Sindt, C, Bruffaerts, N & Skjøth, CA 2021, 'Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe', Science Advances, bind 7, nr. 13, eabd7658. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd7658

APA

Kurganskiy, A., Creer, S., De Vere, N., Griffith, G. W., Osborne, N. J., Wheeler, B. W., McInnes, R. N., Clewlow, Y., Barber, A., Brennan, G. L., Hanlon, H. M., Hegarty, M., Potter, C., Rowney, F., Adams-Groom, B., Petch, G. M., Pashley, C. H., Satchwell, J., de Weger, L. A., ... Skjøth, C. A. (2021). Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe. Science Advances, 7(13), [eabd7658]. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd7658

Vancouver

Kurganskiy A, Creer S, De Vere N, Griffith GW, Osborne NJ, Wheeler BW o.a. Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe. Science Advances. 2021;7(13). eabd7658. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd7658

Author

Kurganskiy, Alexander ; Creer, Simon ; De Vere, Natasha ; Griffith, Gareth W. ; Osborne, Nicholas J. ; Wheeler, Benedict W. ; McInnes, Rachel N. ; Clewlow, Yolanda ; Barber, Adam ; Brennan, Georgina L. ; Hanlon, Helen M. ; Hegarty, Matthew ; Potter, Caitlin ; Rowney, Francis ; Adams-Groom, Beverley ; Petch, Geoff M. ; Pashley, Catherine H. ; Satchwell, Jack ; de Weger, Letty A. ; Rasmussen, Karen ; Oliver, Gilles ; Sindt, Charlotte ; Bruffaerts, Nicolas ; Skjøth, Carsten A. / Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe. I: Science Advances. 2021 ; Bind 7, Nr. 13.

Bibtex

@article{b8a564d2dbee4ff0a90efdc2d7c66f04,
title = "Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe",
abstract = "Allergic rhinitis is an inflammation in the nose caused by overreaction of the immune system to allergens in the air. Managing allergic rhinitis symptoms is challenging and requires timely intervention. The following are major questions often posed by those with allergic rhinitis: How should I prepare for the forthcoming season? How will the season's severity develop over the years? No country yet provides clear guidance addressing these questions. We propose two previously unexplored approaches for forecasting the severity of the grass pollen season on the basis of statistical and mechanistic models. The results suggest annual severity is largely governed by preseasonal meteorological conditions. The mechanistic model suggests climate change will increase the season severity by up to 60%, in line with experimental chamber studies. These models can be used as forecasting tools for advising individuals with hay fever and health care professionals how to prepare for the grass pollen season.",
author = "Alexander Kurganskiy and Simon Creer and {De Vere}, Natasha and Griffith, {Gareth W.} and Osborne, {Nicholas J.} and Wheeler, {Benedict W.} and McInnes, {Rachel N.} and Yolanda Clewlow and Adam Barber and Brennan, {Georgina L.} and Hanlon, {Helen M.} and Matthew Hegarty and Caitlin Potter and Francis Rowney and Beverley Adams-Groom and Petch, {Geoff M.} and Pashley, {Catherine H.} and Jack Satchwell and {de Weger}, {Letty A.} and Karen Rasmussen and Gilles Oliver and Charlotte Sindt and Nicolas Bruffaerts and Skj{\o}th, {Carsten A.}",
year = "2021",
doi = "10.1126/sciadv.abd7658",
language = "English",
volume = "7",
journal = "Science advances",
issn = "2375-2548",
publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
number = "13",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predicting the severity of the grass pollen season and the effect of climate change in Northwest Europe

AU - Kurganskiy, Alexander

AU - Creer, Simon

AU - De Vere, Natasha

AU - Griffith, Gareth W.

AU - Osborne, Nicholas J.

AU - Wheeler, Benedict W.

AU - McInnes, Rachel N.

AU - Clewlow, Yolanda

AU - Barber, Adam

AU - Brennan, Georgina L.

AU - Hanlon, Helen M.

AU - Hegarty, Matthew

AU - Potter, Caitlin

AU - Rowney, Francis

AU - Adams-Groom, Beverley

AU - Petch, Geoff M.

AU - Pashley, Catherine H.

AU - Satchwell, Jack

AU - de Weger, Letty A.

AU - Rasmussen, Karen

AU - Oliver, Gilles

AU - Sindt, Charlotte

AU - Bruffaerts, Nicolas

AU - Skjøth, Carsten A.

PY - 2021

Y1 - 2021

N2 - Allergic rhinitis is an inflammation in the nose caused by overreaction of the immune system to allergens in the air. Managing allergic rhinitis symptoms is challenging and requires timely intervention. The following are major questions often posed by those with allergic rhinitis: How should I prepare for the forthcoming season? How will the season's severity develop over the years? No country yet provides clear guidance addressing these questions. We propose two previously unexplored approaches for forecasting the severity of the grass pollen season on the basis of statistical and mechanistic models. The results suggest annual severity is largely governed by preseasonal meteorological conditions. The mechanistic model suggests climate change will increase the season severity by up to 60%, in line with experimental chamber studies. These models can be used as forecasting tools for advising individuals with hay fever and health care professionals how to prepare for the grass pollen season.

AB - Allergic rhinitis is an inflammation in the nose caused by overreaction of the immune system to allergens in the air. Managing allergic rhinitis symptoms is challenging and requires timely intervention. The following are major questions often posed by those with allergic rhinitis: How should I prepare for the forthcoming season? How will the season's severity develop over the years? No country yet provides clear guidance addressing these questions. We propose two previously unexplored approaches for forecasting the severity of the grass pollen season on the basis of statistical and mechanistic models. The results suggest annual severity is largely governed by preseasonal meteorological conditions. The mechanistic model suggests climate change will increase the season severity by up to 60%, in line with experimental chamber studies. These models can be used as forecasting tools for advising individuals with hay fever and health care professionals how to prepare for the grass pollen season.

U2 - 10.1126/sciadv.abd7658

DO - 10.1126/sciadv.abd7658

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 33771862

VL - 7

JO - Science advances

JF - Science advances

SN - 2375-2548

IS - 13

M1 - eabd7658

ER -

ID: 284974461